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Inside the Crystal Ball: How to Make and Use Forecasts: Book by Maury Coleman Harris

Inside the Crystal Ball: How to Make and Use Forecasts

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ISBN: 9781118865071    Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc Year of publishing: 2015     Format:  Hardback No of Pages: 23.99        Language: English
Everybody forecasts and listens to forecasters, whether they are investors or not. Forecasting is an essential and unavoidable part our lives. Decisions about future outcomes are critical for success or failure...Read more
Everybody forecasts and listens to forecasters, whether they are investors or not. Forecasting is an essential and unavoidable part our lives. Decisions about future outcomes are critical for success or failure in everything from marriage, career choices, business, and investments. No one always makes the right choices. Yet being right the majority of the time, especially for investors and businesses, is everyone's goal.This book is about improving almost anyone's ability to make more correct decisions. The book: Provides sobering evidence on just how hard it is to successfully forecast the economyShowcases how and why economists succeed and sometimes fail to correctly forecast the futureExamines what has made economic forecasters relatively successful and others not so successful in order to learn from past mistakesChief UBS US Economist Maury Harris is uniquely equipped to reveal how much can be learned from economists' successes and mistakes.
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